About this page:
- The program on this page will generate risk scores to predict the proportional risk
attributable to cancer (omega score) for patients with newly diagnosed, non-metastatic head and
neck cancer undergoing primary radiation therapy.
- There are several possible scores because several data sets with different variables have been
used to generate and validate different risk score algorithms
- The risk scores based on Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) and Meta-Analysis of of
Radiotherapy in squamous cell Carcinomas of Head and neck (MARCH) data have been validated as
predictive algorithms. Patients with an omega score ≥ 0.80 are more likely to benefit from
intensive treatment.
- Intensive treatment may consist of using concurrent, adjuvant, or induction chemotherapy,
and/or accelerated or altered radiation fractionation.
- The risk score based on the Veterans Affairs (VINCI) data set has been validated as a
prognostic algorithm, meaning it is accurate for forecasting patient's proportional risk
attributable to cancer (omega). This algorithm takes into account comorbidity and some
additional information that the RTOG and MARCH algorithms do not.
-The composite omega score takes into account all information used to create different risk
scores. Studies are ongoing to test and validate this algorithm.
How to use this page:
- Enter the patient's information in the form below.
- If all algorithms agree that the omega score is high (≥ 0.80), the bars will highlight in
green. This indicates a strong likelihood the individual will benefit from intensive therapy.
- If all algorithms agree that the omega score is low (< 0.80), the bars will highlight in red.
This indicates a strong likelihood the individual will not benefit from intensive
therapy.
- If the algorithms disagree about whether the omega score is high or low, the bars will
highlight in yellow. This indicates uncertainty about the likelihood the patient will
benefit from intensive therapy
- These scores should be used as an evidence-based guide to assist physicians and
patients make informed medical decisions. These scores should not be used to replace
individual clinical decision making.
What is Omega?
- Omega refers to a patient's proportional risk that is attributable to cancer. It is a
number on the scale from 0-1.
- Patients with very high value (close to 1) have a high risk of cancer progression
relative to dying from other causes. These patients are more likely to benefit from
intensive cancer therapy.
- Patients with a very low value (close to 0) have a high risk of dying from other causes
relative to cancer progression. These patients are less likely to benefit from intensive
cancer therapy, and may benefit from alternative strategies directed toward their
competing health risks.
What is comorbidity?
- Comorbidity refers to existing health problems unrelated to cancer.
- For example, a patient with head and neck cancer may also have underlying heart and
lung disease from previous smoking
- Co-morbid conditions affect patients' tolerance to and likelihood to benefit from
intensive cancer therapies
What are competing risk scores?
- Competing risks refer to patients' simultaneous risk for adverse outcomes in addition
to their risk for cancer recurrence
- Such outcomes might include severe side effects from therapy or mortality from causes
unrelated to cancer
- Omega values quantify the degree of competing risks present in a population of patients
- Omega scores predict the omega value for individual patients